Inclusion of Weather Influences in Calculation of Heat Supply Daily Diagram Forecast

نویسنده

  • Bronislav CHRAMCOV
چکیده

Paper deals with involvement of external meteorological influences on the shape of Heat Supply Daily Diagram (HSDD), such as air temperature, wind velocity, wind direction, exposure (intensity of solar radiation), air humidity and air pressure. Inclusion of these weather influences results in improvement of HSDD forecast.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Utilization of Mathematica environment for designing the forecast model of heat demand

Time series analysis and subsequent forecasting can be an important part of a process control system. By monitoring key process variables and using them to predict the future behavior of the process, it may be possible to determine the optimal time and extent of control action. We can find applications of this prediction also in the control of the Centralized Heat Supply System (CHSS), especial...

متن کامل

Using Forecast and Observed Weather Data to Assess Performance of Forecast Products in Identifying Heat Waves and Estimating Heat Wave Effects on Mortality

BACKGROUND Heat wave and health warning systems are activated based on forecasts of health-threatening hot weather. OBJECTIVE We estimated heat-mortality associations based on forecast and observed weather data in Detroit, Michigan, and compared the accuracy of forecast products for predicting heat waves. METHODS We derived and compared apparent temperature (AT) and heat wave days (with hea...

متن کامل

Forecasting Optimal Solar Energy Supply in Jiangsu Province (China): A Systematic Approach Using Hybrid of Weather and Energy Forecast Models

The idea of aggregating information is clearly recognizable in the daily lives of all entities whether as individuals or as a group, since time immemorial corporate organizations, governments, and individuals as economic agents aggregate information to formulate decisions. Energy planning represents an investment-decision problem where information needs to be aggregated from credible sources to...

متن کامل

Time Series Analysis of Heat Demand

The paper deals with an analysis of time series of heat demand course. The course of heat demand and heat consumption can be demonstrated by means of heat demand diagrams. The most important one is the Daily Diagram of Heat Supply (DDHS) which demonstrates the course of requisite heat output during the day. This analysis is utilized for building up a prediction model of the DDHS. Forecast of th...

متن کامل

Design of a Model for Heat Demand Prediction Using the Neural Network Synthesis

This paper deals with design of a model for short-term heat demand forecasting. Forecast of this heat demand course is significant for short-term planning of heat production and it is most important for technical and economic consideration. In this paper we propose the forecast model of heat demand based on the assumption that the course of heat demand can be described sufficiently well as a fu...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2002